Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.866403 3.182712 3.524503 3.922091 4.372892 4.869317 5.458955
2025-03-23 2.474428 2.914636 3.424182 4.060890 4.839766 5.767342 6.964284
2025-03-30 2.155479 2.650737 3.253780 4.048840 5.079449 6.383894 8.181715
2025-04-06 1.916918 2.439362 3.101769 4.013888 5.253898 6.905194 9.311891
2025-04-13 1.667718 2.180241 2.851253 3.807986 5.159869 7.036861 9.902948
2025-04-20 1.540045 2.064822 2.772935 3.816564 5.346937 7.559579 11.096557
2025-04-27 1.455360 1.997411 2.749646 3.893284 5.630247 8.240852 12.603475
2025-05-04 1.381514 1.936883 2.727660 3.964880 5.906469 8.933058 14.209386
2025-05-11 1.309078 1.871129 2.690360 4.006284 6.134858 9.567941 15.796977
2025-05-18 1.241974 1.807107 2.648850 4.034506 6.340501 10.181759 17.423359
2025-05-25 1.148498 1.695916 2.526061 3.920930 6.298468 10.368861 18.298285
2025-06-01 1.079747 1.617740 2.448221 3.872399 6.358724 10.734523 19.548165
2025-06-08 1.015174 1.543138 2.372717 3.824746 6.421725 11.122422 20.920456
2025-06-15 0.994028 1.536330 2.406050 3.964927 6.832938 12.198906 23.849416
2025-06-22 0.945648 1.481689 2.356009 3.954348 6.965286 12.758022 25.779892
2025-06-29 0.897328 1.423869 2.296236 3.920583 7.049047 13.228479 27.587302
2025-07-06 0.824449 1.320390 2.151549 3.720268 6.791578 12.978341 27.716292
2025-07-13 0.792028 1.283908 2.120759 3.728626 6.945652 13.597383 29.980623
2025-07-20 0.772396 1.268173 2.125184 3.803291 7.239705 14.547761 33.212746
2025-07-27 0.753174 1.251862 2.127215 3.872960 7.529583 15.523416 36.686994
2025-08-03 0.730894 1.228708 2.115053 3.913249 7.760515 16.393387 40.046766
2025-08-10 0.708249 1.203531 2.097383 3.940708 7.965710 17.228030 43.470161
2025-08-17 0.669008 1.145939 2.015344 3.830194 7.853824 17.290143 44.712211